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Can the Underdogs Defy the Odds? Uncovering the Psychology of Hockey Playoffs

I started writing this article in February 2025. In March 2025, an underdog in the League I've been involved in for 13 years beat a very (if not extremely) heavily favoured team for the championship in 5 games, and that informs of the minor additions I've made to the present iteration of this article.


Hockey playoffs bring an electric atmosphere that captivates fans around the world. Among the thrilling highs and crushing lows, one of the most compelling storylines is the emergence of the underdog teams. Every year, some squads start the playoffs as long shots—lower seeds battling against higher-rated teams, hoping to make a run for the ultimate prize. But what propels these underdogs, fueling their desire to push against the odds? Let’s dive into the psychology behind these riveting playoff narratives.


The Underdog Effect


The "underdog effect" is a psychological phenomenon where people are drawn to the seemingly weaker contender—a team perceived as less likely to win. This inherent bias happens in sports because of our natural inclination to root for the "little guy."


Statistics show that underdogs often outperform expectations in playoff scenarios. Research suggests this can be attributed to increased motivation. When teams face adversity, they galvanize their efforts, fueled by the external belief that they can't possibly triumph. This relentless drive can lead to remarkable performances.


Additionally, fans often rally behind underdog teams, creating a powerful crowd dynamic. The energy from the stands can elevate performance levels, with players feeling the support and belief from their followers.



The Power of Belief


Belief is a powerful motivator. For the underdog, knowing they are viewed as the weaker opponent can serve as both a disadvantage and an advantage. It’s a unique driver that leads players to rise above self-doubt.


When a team enters the playoffs with the mindset of “we have nothing to lose," they tend to play more freely and creatively. This lighthearted approach can lead to unpredictable plays and outcomes, surprising even their more seasoned rivals.


Conversely, teams that enter as favourites often bear the pressure of expectations. This pressure can lead to anxiety and deteriorate performance. At the heart of hockey, where moments are fleeting and outcomes hinge on split-second decisions, the psychological edge of the underdog cannot be understated.



Historical Underdog Success Stories


Hockey has a rich history of underdog victories that further ignite the spirit of hope for aspiring teams. Take, for instance, the 2005-2006 Carolina Hurricanes. They entered the playoffs as a formidable opponent but were often overshadowed by higher seeds. With a combination of relentless work ethic and unity, they wound up defying all odds and became champions.


Another notable example is the 1993 Montreal Canadiens, who, as an eighth seed, made a miraculous run to win the Stanley Cup. Each game they played was seen as the end of the road, yet they thrived on the thrill of skepticism. Their perseverance fortified the belief that anything is possible, and they captured the hearts of millions—making the story of the underdog one of the most cherished in hockey lore.



Mental Resilience


For an underdog to be successful in the playoffs, mental resilience is paramount. The journey hones players’ capacity to tolerate adversity and accept the stakes. This adaptability allows them to enhance their performance when faced with decreasing odds.


Psychologists suggest that underdog teams often exhibit growth mindset characteristics. They embrace challenges, welcome feedback, and view failures as steps towards improvement rather than final defeats. This mental fortitude is crucial in high-stakes playoff games, where each puck drop can lead to either jubilation or heartbreak.


To enhance this resilience, many teams utilize psychology coaches or mental performance advisors to equip players with coping strategies. Visualization techniques, mindfulness exercises, and even team-building activities play a role in preparing the underdog not just physically, but mentally for the playoff grind.



The Role of Leadership


Leadership in underdog teams is another essential factor in their potential success. Successful teams often have strong leaders who inspire confidence, offer clarity during chaos, and foster a positive atmosphere. Captains or primary players who express a clear vision and encourage collaboration can turn a ragtag group into a cohesive force.


Furthermore, unheralded rookie talents or role players can become pivotal. In the unforgiving landscape of playoff hockey, these individuals might shine when given an opportunity, disrupting expectations, and helping their teams to outplay their assessments.


Leaders can also tap into the underdog's unique narrative, reminding players of their potential and abilities while reinforcing the belief that every player counts on the roster.



The Fan Factor


Whether they sail smoothly or face rough waters, the role of fans cannot be ignored in the underdog’s journey. The energy and encouragement from the stands can elevate the performance of the players.


Fans often relish the excitement of an underdog breakthrough, influencing the team’s morale. The stadium becomes a cauldron of collective belief, where doubt is replaced with enthusiasm, and uncertainty morphs into perseverance.


The palpable connection between teams and fans during playoffs can serve as both psychological and emotional support. Feelings of unity create an atmosphere that is not only conducive to victory, but also may set the stage for historical nights.



Conclusion


In summation, the narrative surrounding underdogs in hockey playoffs extends far beyond statistics. The compelling psychology of these teams manifests in belief, resilience, leadership, and fan support. Each year, we wait with bated breath for the underdogs to defy the odds and write their stories into the annals of hockey history.


We are drawn to these tales because they remind us that against all odds, hope remains alive. The playoff season illuminates the timeless struggles and triumphs within the human spirit. So as the puck drops and the stakes rise, remember that on any given night, when the ice is no longer just a surface but a battleground, underdogs may yet again transcend expectations and etch their names into legends.


Eye-level view of a hockey puck on the ice rink during a playoff game
The intensity of playoff hockey captured with a puck on the ice

Ed Garinger is a seasoned hockey coach, mentor, and educator with over two decades of experience. A native of the Bruce Peninsula, he played minor and junior hockey before earning his BA and BEd from Nipissing University, where he also competed in varsity volleyball and extramural hockey.


Coaching since age 14, Ed has balanced his teaching career with an extensive coaching and development portfolio, working with players at all levels. He has coached in the Provincial Junior Hockey League, led youth and high school teams, and served as a learning facilitator for the OMHA. His experience includes elite programs like the OHL/OHF U15 and U16 camps, U17 Regional Camps, and Hockey Canada’s Skills Academy.


A Hockey Canada HP1-certified coach, USA Hockey-certified coach, and Chartered Professional Coach (ChPC), Ed is committed to ongoing professional development and continually seeks to expand his knowledge to better serve players and coaches. Now based in Orillia, he enjoys passing on his passion for hockey to the next generation.

© 2019 by Cornerstone Hockey Development

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